2025 Market Outlook: Foreign Investors’ Persistent Net Selling in Warrants During December 15-19 Week

At the close of trading on December 12, 2025, the market saw 14 stocks rise, 217 fall, and 26 remain unchanged. Foreign investors continued their net selling streak, with a total net outflow of 2.18 billion VND.

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I. MARKET TRENDS IN WARRANTS

By the close of trading on December 12, 2025, the market recorded 14 gainers, 217 losers, and 26 unchanged stocks.

Market Breadth Over the Last 20 Sessions. Unit: Percentage

Source: VietstockFinance

During the December 12, 2025 session, selling pressure dominated, causing most warrant prices to decline. Notably, the major warrant codes in the red included CVIC2509, CVPB2513, CVHM2511, and CMWG2511.

Source: VietstockFinance

Total market volume on December 12 reached 53.32 million CW, up 23.96%; trading value hit 106.33 billion VND, a 56.92% increase from December 11. CMWG2510 led in both volume and value, with 2.56 million CW traded, totaling 9.29 billion VND.

Foreign investors continued net selling on December 12, totaling 2.18 billion VND. CHPG2518 and CVJC2506 saw the highest net outflows. Weekly net selling exceeded 11.67 billion VND.

Securities firms HCM, SSI, VND, and ACBS are the top issuers of warrants in the market.

Source: VietstockFinance

II. MARKET STATISTICS

Source: VietstockFinance

III. WARRANT VALUATION

Using a valuation method effective from December 15, 2025, the fair prices of traded warrants are as follows:

Source: VietstockFinance

Note: Opportunity costs in the valuation model are adjusted for the Vietnamese market. Specifically, the risk-free rate (government treasury bills) is replaced by the average deposit rate of major banks, adjusted for warrant maturity.

According to this valuation, CVIC2508 and CVIC2509 are the most attractively priced warrants.

Warrants with higher effective gearing exhibit greater volatility relative to their underlying assets. Currently, CHPG2515 and CSTB2511 have the highest effective gearing ratios in the market.

Economic Analysis & Market Strategy Division, Vietstock Consulting Department

– 17:58 14/12/2025

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