Coffee prices today, December 22, hover around 120,000 VND/kg, a decrease of approximately 5,000 VND/kg compared to last week, with no reference prices from global exchanges.
Last week’s trading ended with Robusta coffee prices on the London (UK) exchange at 5,002 USD/ton, a decrease of about 3.5% from the previous week. Coffee prices did not fluctuate significantly last week, only rising and falling within a two-digit range.
Robusta coffee is Vietnam’s forte, ranking first in the world in the export of this coffee variety. However, it has recently faced intense competition. Vietnam’s coffee market share is being challenged as our export volume decreases and prices surge.
According to the Vietnam Coffee-Cocoa Association (VICOFA), Brazil, the world’s top coffee exporter, is also the second-largest exporter of Robusta coffee after Vietnam. The Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics reported that for the 2024-2025 coffee crop, Brazil’s Robusta coffee (known as Conilon) production reached 17.7 million bags, with each bag weighing 60 kg, totaling over 1 million tons.
Vietnam’s Robusta Coffee Varieties
Meanwhile, the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) forecasts a total production of 69.9 million bags for Brazil’s 2024-2025 coffee crop, including 48.2 million bags of Arabica and 21.7 million bags of Robusta (approximately 1.3 million tons). Vietnam’s total production is estimated at 29 million bags, with exports of 24.4 million bags (1.464 million tons) and domestic consumption of 4.6 million bags.
According to the International Coffee Organization (ICO), global exports of Robusta coffee have increased by about 5-6%, while Vietnam’s Robusta coffee exports have decreased by double digits.
At the International Coffee Conference in Brazil last September, VICOFA shared notable insights. In terms of area, Brazil’s Robusta coffee covers 378,000 hectares (approximately 54% of Vietnam’s area), with an average yield of 3.6 tons/ha (compared to Vietnam’s average yield of 2.9 tons/ha for Robusta coffee). Some gardens even achieve yields of 6-7.2 tons/ha.
Conilon coffee in Brazil is mainly harvested semi-mechanically. After harvesting, the commercial coffee is mostly processed by dry methods.
Each batch of fresh fruit takes only 12 hours to dry, resulting in coffee beans with a moisture content of 12-13%.
Currently, Brazilian Robusta coffee is considered lower in quality compared to Vietnamese Robusta, which leads to lower prices.
Nevertheless, some coffee market experts caution about the possibility of Vietnamese Robusta being replaced, especially in instant coffee, as modern food technology can enhance aroma, taste, and texture.
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