I. MARKET ANALYSIS OF STOCKS ON 02/11/2025
– The main indices recovered during the trading session on February 11th. The VN-Index closed up 0.41%, reaching 1,268.45 points; HNX-Index increased by 0.39%, reaching 228.87 points.
– The matching volume on HOSE reached nearly 572 million units, a 20.8% decrease compared to the previous session’s high. The matching volume on the HNX floor decreased by 7.3%, reaching more than 57 million units.
– Foreign investors maintained a net selling position on the HOSE floor with a value of more than VND 597 billion and net sold nearly VND 11 billion on the HNX floor.
Trading value of foreign investors on HOSE, HNX and UPCOM by day. Unit: VND billion
Net trading value by stock code. Unit: VND billion
– Investor sentiment stabilized quite quickly after yesterday’s decline. Although the fluctuations appeared continuously, the index maintained its green color throughout the trading session. Strong buying power appeared in the group of pillar stocks at the end of the session, helping the VN-Index to close with a gain of 5.19 points, reaching the milestone of 1,268.45 points.
– In terms of impact, FPT and HPG recovered strongly after the previous session’s plunge, making the most positive contributions to the VN-Index with a 2.2-point increase. On the other hand, pressure from VCB, MWG, and BCM took away nearly 1 point from the index.
– VN30-Index ended up 0.57%, reaching 1,338.4 points. The breadth of the basket was quite balanced with 16 stocks rising and 14 falling. HPG, FPT and PLX ranked at the top with gains of over 2%, while MWG, VRE and SAB were the biggest losers, falling more than 1%.
Although the general index increased, the movements of industry groups were quite differentiated. The recovery of FPT (+2.39%) and CMG (+1.36%) mainly contributed to the outstanding increase of 2.35% of the information technology group today. Following was the healthcare group, which also attracted significant buying power in prominent stocks such as IMP (+4.63%), DBD (+2.56%), DVN (+1.57%), DVM (+2.44%), DHT (+1.5%),…
Groups with large capitalization such as finance and real estate traded quite sluggishly, mainly fluctuating slightly around the reference level, except for a few notable names such as TPB (+1.49%), SHB (+1.9%), LPB (+1.23%), SSB (+1.34%); SZC (+2.92%), KBC (+1.58%), NLG (-1.63%) and VRE (-1.2%).
Although many stocks in the industry group also recovered well, such as VCG (+2.71%), CTD (+2.94%), HAH (+1.73%), VTP (+2.99%), HHV (+1.2%), HVN (+3.38%),… However, the influence of ACV (-3.65%), GMD (-1.3%), PHP (-1.17%), CII (-1.03%),… still caused this group to close in the red.
VN-Index rebounded after the previous sharp decline, while trading volume remained above the 20-day average. This indicates that investors are still trading quite actively. However, selling pressure at the old peak of December 2024 (equivalent to the 1,270-1,280-point range) is still quite strong. To continue the uptrend, the index needs to break above this range. Currently, the MACD indicator is still maintaining a buy signal and is above the zero threshold. If this status is maintained in the coming days, the risk will be reduced.
II. TREND AND PRICE MOVEMENT ANALYSIS
VN-Index – MACD indicator maintains a buy signal
VN-Index rebounded after the previous sharp fall, while trading volume remained above the 20-day average. This indicates that investors are still trading quite actively. However, selling pressure at the old peak of December 2024 (equivalent to the 1,270-1,280-point range) remains strong. To sustain the uptrend, the index needs to break above this range.
Currently, the MACD indicator is still maintaining a buy signal and is above the zero line. If this status is maintained in the coming days, the risk will be reduced.
HNX-Index – Heading towards the old peak of December 2024
HNX-Index rebounded and has the opportunity to retest the old peak of December 2024 (equivalent to the 228-231-point range). If, in the coming sessions, the index breaks above this range, the situation will become more optimistic.
However, the Stochastic Oscillator indicator is moving deep into overbought territory and may give a sell signal again. If this happens, the risk of short-term corrections will remain.
Money Flow Analysis
Fluctuations in smart money flow: The Negative Volume Index indicator of VN-Index cut above the EMA 20-day line. If this status is maintained in the next session, the risk of sudden declines (thrust down) will be limited.
Fluctuations in foreign capital flow: Foreign investors continued to net sell during the trading session on February 11, 2025. If foreign investors maintain this action in the coming sessions, the situation will be less optimistic.
III. MARKET STATISTICS ON 02/11/2025
Economic Analysis and Market Strategy Department, Vietstock Consulting
– 17:13 02/11/2025
The Cautious Mindset Returns
The VN-Index retreated with below-average trading volume, indicating investor caution as the index nears its December 2024 peak (1,270-1,280 points). Additionally, the Stochastic Oscillator has signaled a sell-off in overbought territory, suggesting heightened short-term adjustment risks if the indicator falls from these levels.
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“Vietstock Weekly: Upholding the Uptrend”
The VN-Index continued its upward trajectory, marking three consecutive weeks of gains since crossing above the 200-week SMA. Accompanying this rise is a surge in trading volume, which has exceeded the 20-week average since mid-November 2024. This indicates a positive shift in market participation. At present, the MACD indicator has just triggered a buy signal, crossing above the signal line. Should this momentum be sustained, the short-term outlook remains optimistic.
The Ultimate Headline: VN-Index: Navigating the Crucial Test Ahead
The VN-Index surged, closely hugging the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, reflecting a highly optimistic investor sentiment. The index has surpassed its previous peak of 1270-1285 points from December 2024 and is now approaching the crucial resistance level of 1300 points. A breakthrough above this level would further enhance the positive outlook. However, the Stochastic Oscillator indicator is venturing deep into overbought territory. Investors are advised to exercise caution in the coming period, as a potential sell signal from the indicator could trigger a shift in market dynamics.
Market Beat: VN-Index Plunges, Steel Stocks Take a Hit on News of Tariffs
The market closed with notable losses, as the VN-Index dipped by 11.94 points (-0.94%) to close at 1,263.26, while the HNX-Index fell by 1.52 points (-0.66%), settling at 227.97. The market breadth was overwhelmingly bearish, with 489 declining stocks outweighing 270 advancing stocks. Within the large-cap VN30 basket, bears held the edge, as evidenced by 16 tickers in the red versus 9 in the green, while 5 remained unchanged.
Is Hesitation Creeping In?
The VN-Index edged higher, forming a Doji candlestick pattern. This reflects investors’ indecision as the index retests the old peak of December 2024 (1,270-1,280 points). However, trading volume remained above the 20-day average, indicating positive market participation. The Stochastic Oscillator and MACD remain upward-trending, providing buy signals. If this momentum persists, the outlook will turn increasingly optimistic.
