STOCK MARKET REVIEW FOR THE WEEK OF 05/12/2025 – 05/16/2025
During the week of 05/12/2025 – 05/16/2025, the VN-Index continued its upward trend since breaking above the SMA 200-week moving average. Moreover, trading volume remained above the 20-week average, indicating strong participation from investors. This momentum was crucial in pushing the index beyond the 1,300-point mark. If the VN-Index can sustain these levels in the coming weeks, it may have the potential to reach the March 2025 highs (approximately 1,320-1,340 points). This range also represents the highest peak since May 2022.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Trend and Price Oscillation Analysis
VN-Index – Stochastic Oscillator has given a sell signal
On 05/16/2025, the VN-Index declined after four consecutive gaining sessions, accompanied by trading volume surpassing the 20-day average, indicating investors’ cautious sentiment.
Additionally, the Stochastic Oscillator has provided a sell signal within the overbought territory, suggesting an increased possibility of a short-term downward adjustment if the indicator falls below this region in the upcoming sessions.
However, the index remains close to the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, while the MACD continues its upward trajectory after delivering a buy signal and crossing above zero, implying persistent positive prospects over the medium term.
HNX-Index – Bollinger Bands are gradually expanding
On 05/16/2025, the HNX-Index witnessed a slight decline, coupled with trading volume exceeding the 20-session average, reflecting investors’ indecision.
Currently, the index remains close to the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, which are gradually widening, while the MACD is consistently expanding its gap with the signal line following a buy signal, indicating sustained positive momentum.
Money Flow Analysis
Smart Money Flow Variation: The Negative Volume Index for the VN-Index has dropped below the EMA 20-day moving average. If this condition persists in the next session, there is an increased risk of a sudden downturn (thrust down).
Foreign Money Flow Variation: Foreign investors turned to net sellers during the trading session on 05/16/2025. If this sentiment continues in the upcoming sessions, the outlook may become increasingly pessimistic.
Vietstock Technical Analysis Team
– 17:28 05/18/2025
The VN-Index Surges: Will Investors Keep the Faith?
The VN-Index surges past the 1,300-point milestone, marking a robust week of recovery following the US tariff shock. However, the week’s end saw a corrective session, leaving investors questioning whether to continue investing or temporarily stay on the sidelines, securing their profits.
The Week’s Market Wrap: Foreign Investors Pour $3 Billion into Vietnam’s Banking and Retail Sectors.
Foreign investors bought a net amount of 2,920.7 billion VND, and a net amount of 3,195.1 billion VND in terms of matched orders alone. The key sectors that foreign investors bought on a net basis in terms of matched orders were Banking and Retail.
The Flow of Funds: A Shake-Up to Re-test Old Peaks?
The exhilarating surge across the first three trading sessions of the week helped the VN-Index recoup all losses incurred from the April 3rd tax countermeasure shock. However, intense profit-taking pressure on the last trading day also signaled the market’s potential to conclude its short-term upward trend.
The Evolution of a ‘Strange’ Stock: An In-Depth Analysis
Today’s session (May 16) saw profit-taking on many large-cap stocks. Meanwhile, speculative money flowed more briskly, especially on the UPCoM, as BCR surged for the fourth straight session, defying the BCG Land leadership’s massive sell-off of their shares.
The Executive Exodus: Insider Selling Spells Trouble?
Today’s session (May 16) saw profit-taking on many large-cap stocks. Meanwhile, speculative money flowed more briskly, especially on the UPCoM, as BCR soared for the fourth consecutive session, defying the BCG Land leadership’s massive sell-off of their shares.
