STOCK MARKET REVIEW FOR THE WEEK OF 09-13/06/2025
During the week of June 9-13, 2025, the VN-Index declined, ending the week with a volatile trading session. Although it remained above the Middle Bollinger Band, the index is struggling to return to its March 2025 highs (around 1,320-1,340 points). Trading volume for the week also decreased compared to the previous breakout period, indicating a more cautious investor sentiment. Currently, the 1,300-point level remains a crucial support zone. A breakdown below this level could trigger further downward pressure, pushing the VN-Index towards the next support area of 1,270-1,280 points.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Trend and Price Oscillation Analysis
VN-Index – Remains below the Middle Bollinger Band
On June 13, 2025, the VN-Index declined, accompanied by an increase in trading volume that surpassed the 20-day average, reflecting investors’ pessimistic outlook.
Additionally, the index remained below the Middle Bollinger Band, while the Stochastic Oscillator continued its downward trajectory after generating a sell signal. These indicators suggest a persistent bearish outlook.
HNX-Index – MACD Generates a Sell Signal
On June 13, 2025, the HNX-Index witnessed a decline and formed a candle pattern resembling a Bearish Engulfing pattern, accompanied by a trading volume exceeding the 20-day average, indicating a highly pessimistic investor sentiment.
Furthermore, the index reversed its upward trend after testing the long-term moving averages of SMA 100 and SMA 200 days (around 225-229 points) as the MACD generated a sell signal. This suggests a high likelihood of continued downward adjustments in the upcoming sessions.
Money Flow Analysis
Smart Money Flow Variation: The Negative Volume Index for the VN-Index is currently below the EMA 20-day. If this condition persists in the next session, the risk of a sudden downturn (thrust down) will increase.
Foreign Money Flow Variation: Foreign investors continued net buying on June 13, 2025. If this trend is maintained in the following sessions, the situation may become less pessimistic.
Technical Analysis Department, Vietstock Consulting
– 16:58 15/06/2025
The Flow of Funds: Post-“Bull-Trap”, Market Faces Further Downside Risk
The escalating Middle East conflict sparked a global stock market sell-off last weekend, impacting domestic markets. However, experts deem this a mere catalyst, as the downward trend had already been brewing.
The Market is Worry-Free: VPBank Securities Experts Identify 3 Groups of “Leading” Stocks for the Coming Period
“Given a market adjustment to the 1,280 to 1,300 range, investors are presented with an opportunity to buy and hold for the year’s final upticks,” emphasized Mr. Son.
“A Savvy Investor’s Strategy: Buy the Dip and Focus on Banking Stocks”
Individual investors posted net purchases of VND 451.9 billion, including VND 240.9 billion in net buy orders. In terms of matched orders alone, they net bought in 7 out of 18 sectors, mainly in the Banking sector.
Stock Market Outlook for June 13: Will Bank Stocks Continue to Lead the Charge?
The trading session on June 12 ended on a positive note, with the banking sector stocks leading the market higher. This performance has sparked hopes for a continuation of this bullish trend in the next session.
The Foreign Buying Frenzy Continues: Net Buying Spree Reaches Nearly $100 Billion, Contrasting the Heavy Sell-Off of a Single Securities Stock
For foreign transactions, foreign investors continued to net buy over 86 billion VND on the entire market.
