Thematic investing – as opposed to traditional geographic or sector approaches – has risen from 4% in 2008 to nearly 13% in 2023. (Int)

Establishing a New Strategy After the Market Adjustment Phase

Savills’ Impact 2025 report indicates that the sustainable growth cycle, which once made real estate a favored investment channel, has slowed. High-interest rates have made bond yields more competitive, while expectations for capital appreciation in real estate have narrowed. In this trend, investors need to shift to a proactive strategy, focusing on core cash flow, asset management capabilities, and long-term orientation.

From 2016 to 2024, Vietnam’s real estate market witnessed robust growth in residential, office, and retail segments, especially in Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City, due to rapid urbanization and increasing demand for modern living spaces. However, disruptions caused by the pandemic, tight credit policies, and prolonged legal barriers have led the market into a deep correction phase, with many projects stalled and a more cautious investment sentiment.

In response to this situation, structural reforms have been accelerated. The implementation of the Land Law, Housing Law, and amended Law on Real Estate Business since August 2024 has helped remove bottlenecks in approval procedures and enhanced transparency, a key factor in attracting long-term capital. Simultaneously, public investment in infrastructure has been accelerated nationwide, from the Long Thanh airport, North-South expressway to ring roads in Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City, facilitating regional connectivity and triggering new waves of development in satellite cities.

Mr. Neil MacGregor, Senior Managing Director of Savills Vietnam, commented, “Investor sentiment will improve significantly once planning approvals are granted and projects can be launched into the market. Improved access to land through auctions and streamlined site clearance procedures will boost real estate investment in Vietnam.”

He also mentioned that peripheral markets would benefit significantly from improved infrastructure, especially areas offering affordable housing. Meanwhile, in central locations, the branded residences model is expected to gain traction, similar to Bangkok or the Middle East, attracting domestic and international ultra-high-net-worth individuals, especially as Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City solidify their international status.

Q1/2025 witnessed notable recovery signals: Hanoi absorbed nearly 8,000 apartments, a 49% increase year-on-year; Ho Chi Minh City’s Grade A offices achieved an 88% occupancy rate, and the retail segment maintained its dominance with a 94% occupancy rate. These factors indicate that the market is not only entering a new growth cycle but also reshaping its entire development structure, a phase that is both promising and a test for long-term investors.

Investment Orientation: Thematic and Sustainable, Based on Actual Needs

The Impact 2025 report also highlights two prominent strategic directions reshaping global real estate. The first is thematic investing, moving away from traditional geographic or sector approaches, with a focus on data centers, healthcare, education, senior living, and logistics. These sectors are highly counter-cyclical and aligned with long-term social trends. The allocation to these segments has risen from under 4% in 2008 to nearly 13% in 2023.

In Vietnam, this trend is gradually taking shape. “The middle and upper classes in Vietnam are growing rapidly, driving investment demand in healthcare and education, while also supporting the development of retail and hospitality,” said Neil. He also mentioned that logistics real estate in Vietnam still has significant potential, especially with the parallel development of infrastructure and e-commerce.

The second strategic direction is prioritizing sustainable cash flow by improving tenant experience. Investors must focus on asset quality, efficient operations, and alignment with actual needs. Vietnam is witnessing a wave of Grade A office building construction, especially in Hanoi, to meet the “shift to quality” trend among businesses.

“Today’s tenants seek not just workspace but also elements that enhance their employees’ quality of life. Air quality, natural light, gyms, and spa facilities are increasingly becoming criteria for selecting a new building. In the buildings managed by Savills, we have implemented software that enables tenants to interact and participate in events, sports clubs, and other community activities,” he added.

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