Vietnam Airlines’ Road to Recovery and Sustainable Growth

In 2024, Vietnam’s national carrier, Vietnam Airlines (stock code HVN), made a remarkable turnaround, recording a consolidated pre-tax profit of 7,958 billion VND. Financial metrics showed significant improvement, with domestic and international flight operations almost back to pre-pandemic levels, setting the stage for the airline’s synchronized strategies for the next growth phase.

To ensure sustainable development, Vietnam Airlines implemented a range of solutions, with two critical pillars: capital restructuring and fleet optimization to streamline business operations.

In 2024, Vietnam Airlines (stock code HVN) turned a corner, recording a consolidated pre-tax profit of 7,958 billion VND.

Synchronized Strategies for Sustainable Growth

Vietnam Airlines is preparing for an extraordinary shareholders’ meeting to approve strategic plans for the period from 2026 to 2030, which is envisioned as a phase of comprehensive recovery and enhanced stability.

Beyond positive financial results, the airline has significantly improved its financial structure by implementing cash flow enhancement measures, divesting from certain subsidiaries, and restructuring its aircraft assets. Notably, a 22-trillion-VND financial package, approved by the National Assembly in late 2024, will be executed in two phases through rights offerings to existing shareholders to increase charter capital.

The first phase, valued at 9 trillion VND, is expected to be completed in 2025, with the State’s pre-emptive rights transferred to the State Capital Investment Corporation (SCIC). The second phase, with a maximum value of 13 trillion VND, is planned for 2026.

The additional capital from these offerings will enable Vietnam Airlines to clear its financial obligations, restore financial strength, and facilitate key investment projects, such as expanding operational infrastructure at the Long Thanh International Airport and investing in new narrow-body aircraft.

As per the plan, if the timeline is adhered to and positive financial performance continues, the company’s owner’s equity is projected to turn positive as soon as 2025. The overall solvency ratio is expected to reach 1.05, and the return on sales (ROS) is estimated at 1.4%.

The combination of internal efforts and timely support from the government is considered pivotal to the airline’s sustainable recovery goals.

Intense Competition in Aircraft Procurement

According to forecasts by the International Air Transport Association (IATA), the Asia-Pacific region, including Vietnam, remains one of the fastest-growing aviation markets globally. Vietnam’s aviation market is projected to expand at an average rate of 5-6% annually, reaching approximately 150 million passengers by 2035, nearly double the number in 2019.

To capitalize on this trend, Vietnam Airlines is expediting a project to invest in 50 narrow-body aircraft. This project was initially studied and reported on from 2018 to 2020 but was later adjusted due to the pandemic. In April 2025, the government approved the investment without providing state guarantees, leaving financial responsibility solely with the airline.

Vietnam Airlines is currently in discussions with Airbus and Boeing, considering the A320/A321 NEO and B737 MAX models. If negotiations proceed smoothly, the first deliveries could take place by late 2028.

The total investment for this program is estimated at $3.7 billion, with a capital structure combining equity and commercial or export credit loans. This plan will expand the airline’s fleet to approximately 137 aircraft by 2030, bolstering its long-term competitiveness.

Additionally, the airline is broadening its financial partnerships with prominent institutions. Vietnam Airlines has signed a memorandum of understanding with Vietcombank for long-term capital arrangement for the aircraft investment project. Furthermore, a memorandum of understanding with Citi, a leading US financial institution, has also been concluded, committing a minimum of $560 million in financing for the airline’s strategic projects.

Vietnam Airlines embarks on a new growth trajectory with a clear direction and a cautious yet determined approach.

Embarking on a New Growth Trajectory

Vietnam Airlines is entering a new phase of growth with a clear direction and a cautious yet determined approach. The airline aims to eliminate accumulated losses by 2032 and achieve self-reliant development without relying on external support by 2027.

The strategy of “putting the corn in the right basket” reflects a focus on core competencies rather than a scattered resource allocation. Amid the dynamic restructuring of the aviation market, proactively strengthening finances, investing in the fleet, and forging partnerships with international financial institutions are key to Vietnam Airlines’ maintenance of its domestic leadership and enhancement of its global competitiveness.

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