CPI Surges 3.98% in February YoY

According to the latest statistics from the General Statistics Office, the demand for purchasing goods and services by the people has increased significantly during the Lunar New Year holiday. The price of rice in the domestic market has also risen in line with the price of rice for export. Additionally, the prices of gasoline and gas have increased following the global fuel prices, which are the main factors contributing to the rise of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in February 2024.

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In particular, the consumer price index (CPI) for February 2024 increased by 1.04% compared to the previous month; increased by 1.35% compared to December 2023 and increased by 3.98% compared to the same period in 2023. The average for the first two months of 2024, CPI increased by 3.67% compared to the same period last year.

The report stated that in the 1.04% increase in CPI for February 2024 compared to the previous month, there were 9 groups of goods and services with increased price indexes, and 2 groups of goods with decreased price indexes.

Accordingly, the 9 groups of goods and services with increased price indexes include:

– The transportation group increased the most, by 3.09% (contributing to a 0.3 percentage point increase in the overall CPI), including: The public transportation service index increased by 15.48% due to increased travel demand during the Lunar New Year holiday season; the gasoline price index increased by 5.82%, the diesel price index increased by 5.51% due to the impact of domestic gasoline and diesel price adjustments; car wash and pumping services increased by 2.47%; parking services increased by 1.86%; vehicle maintenance services increased by 0.52%; the price of motorcycle tires and inner tubes increased by 0.21%; the price of other motorcycle spare parts increased by 0.15%.

– The food and beverage group increased by 1.71% (contributing to a 0.57 percentage point increase in the overall CPI), including: Food increased by 1.75%[ (contributing to a 0.06 percentage point increase in the overall CPI); food increased by 1.98% (contributing to a 0.42 percentage point increase in the overall CPI); eating out increased by 1.04% (contributing to a 0.09 percentage point increase in the overall CPI).

– The beverage and tobacco group increased by 0.8% due to increased consumption and use as gifts during the Lunar New Year holiday, leading to increased prices of alcohol and beer by 1.17%; cigarettes increased by 0.56%; non-alcoholic beverages increased by 0.33%.

– The culture, entertainment and tourism group increased by 0.79% due to shopping and traveling during the Lunar New Year holiday season (contributing to a 0.04 percentage point increase in the overall CPI), mainly focusing on the following categories: The price of flowers, plants and landscapes increased by 4.19%; entertainment services increased by 1.09% (including a 15.41% increase in ticket prices for movies and music performances); package tours increased by 1.67% (domestic tourism increased by 1.68%; international tourism increased by 1.63%); hotel prices increased by 0.99%.

– The other goods and services group increased by 0.78%, mainly due to price increases in some categories: Hair cutting and washing services increased by 2.88%; jewelry group increased by 2.61%; personal care services increased by 1.92%. Due to the wedding season, the prices of wedding-related products and services increased by 0.25%. In addition, the demand for worshiping items during the holidays increased, causing the prices of these items to increase by 0.62% compared to the previous month.

– The housing and construction materials group increased by 0.43% (contributing to a 0.08 percentage point increase in the overall CPI).

– The equipment and household goods group increased by 0.26%.

– The clothing and footwear group increased by 0.16% due to labor costs, material costs, and shopping demand during the Lunar New Year holiday season.

– The medicine and health services group increased slightly by 0.02%, in which the price index of various medicines increased by 0.11%; the price of medical examination and treatment services remained unchanged compared to the previous month. The main reason is that some pain relievers, fever reducers, anti-inflammatory drugs, and respiratory system drugs have increased in price due to the humid weather conditions in some localities in the North.

Month-on-month CPI growth/decline in February 2024. Source: General Statistics Office

Conversely, the 2 groups of goods and services with decreased price indexes include:

– The posts and telecommunications group decreased by 0.17% due to businesses implementing discount programs for some types of older mobile phones.

– The education group decreased by 0.42% compared to the previous month (contributing to a 0.03 percentage point decrease in the overall CPI), including a 0.48% decrease in education services. The main reason is that on December 31, 2023, the Government issued Resolution No. 97/2023/NĐ-CP amending and supplementing some provisions of Decree No. 81/2021/NĐ-CP dated August 27, 2021 of the Government, which requires stabilizing the tuition fees for the 2023-2024 academic year at the tuition fee level of the 2021-2022 academic year for public preschool education and public general education. As a result, some localities have adjusted the tuition fees after collecting them according to Decree No. 81/2021/NĐ-CP.

Core inflation in February 2024 increased by 0.49% compared to the previous month and increased by 2.96% compared to the same period last year. In the first two months of the year, core inflation increased by 2.84% compared to the same period last year, lower than the average overall CPI increase (3.67%), mainly due to the prices of food, gasoline and oil, medical services, and education services, which are excluded from the calculation of core inflation.