“How Long Will It Take for Vietnam to Reach Its GDP Target and Join the Ranks of the Top 35 Largest Economies?”

With a remarkable transformation from a backward economy, Vietnam has emerged as one of the top 40 economies in the world, boasting a trade volume that places it among the top 20 countries. The country is now an integral part of 16 Free Trade Agreements (FTAs), linking it to 60 key global economies. With such impressive progress, the question on everyone's mind is: When will Vietnam's GDP break into the top 35 largest economies in the world?

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Vietnam’s Economic Journey: A Decade of Growth and Development

 According to data from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), it took Vietnam 37 years to reach a tenfold increase in its GDP, climbing to $400 billion from approximately $43 billion in 1986.

Specifically, Vietnam’s GDP, in current prices, stood at $43 billion in 1986. By 2008, this figure had tripled to $125 billion. It took the country 23 years to surpass the $100 billion mark for the first time.

In the following years, Vietnam’s economy continued its upward trajectory, and it only took 15 years to increase from $100 billion to $400 billion. Specifically, Vietnam’s GDP reached $408 billion in 2022 and further expanded to $433.7 billion in 2023.

IMF projections indicate that Vietnam will be among the 35 largest economies in the world by 2024. Specifically, Vietnam’s GDP is forecast to reach approximately $465.8 billion, ranking 5th in the region, after Indonesia ($1,470 billion), Thailand ($548.89 billion), Singapore ($525.22 billion), and the Philippines ($471.5 billion).

Vietnam’s Projected Economic Growth: 2024 and Beyond

 Notably, IMF experts predict that by 2029, with a projected GDP of $684 billion, Vietnam will surpass Singapore, which is estimated to reach $896 billion, to become the 4th largest economy in Southeast Asia and the 31st largest economy globally.

During the Regular Government Meeting with the Standing Subcommittee on Socio-Economic Affairs held in early September, Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh proposed a target to elevate Vietnam to the group of 30 to 35 largest economies in the world and among upper-middle-income countries.

To achieve this ambitious goal, the Prime Minister emphasized the need to propose mechanisms and policies to mobilize social resources, especially public-private partnerships and foreign resources, both direct and indirect. He also stressed the importance of continuing to focus on the three strategic breakthroughs and further enhancing the content related to the development of science, technology, and innovation, particularly in emerging sectors such as green, digital, circular, knowledge, and sharing economies, as well as cultural industries.

Additionally, there should be a continued emphasis on institutional reforms and improvements, especially in the socialist-oriented market economy, with the State playing a leading role and enterprises as the central driving force.

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