According to the Vietnam Real Estate Brokers Association, the experience of other countries shows that credit policy is one of the essential tools for governments to regulate the real estate market. Many of the policies successfully implemented by other countries can be referenced, learned from, and applied in Vietnam.
Based on the lessons learned from these countries, the Association proposes several credit policy solutions to stabilize the market when it experiences fluctuations of more than 20% in three months or other real estate market fluctuations that impact socio-economic stability without affecting the demand for housing from citizens.
Soaring real estate prices. |
The Association suggests tightening credit policies for speculators. Specifically, to reduce the number of people borrowing for speculative purposes or using excessive leverage, financial institutions can adjust lending limits by modifying the loan-to-value ratio, requiring a higher proportion of down payment, or applying higher interest rates for second-home buyers and beyond.
Secondly, enhance credit monitoring and management. As proposed by the Association, the government can impose regulations on credit quality control, requiring banks to provide more detailed reports on real estate-related loans, thereby strengthening risk oversight. Establish a credit mechanism for social housing projects, prioritizing capital allocation for projects developing affordable and social housing to address the housing needs of low-income earners.
Additionally, the state should also have a credit relaxation policy, including reducing interest rates and providing long-term loans with preferential rates for first-time home buyers or other priority groups to maintain social stability, such as newly married couples.
To ensure the accuracy and effectiveness of these policies, the Association believes that the state needs to develop a large, accurate, and up-to-date database to distinguish between genuine homebuyers and those engaging in speculative activities.
Expediting the publication of real estate transaction price indices and other influential indicators is crucial to determining when the state needs to intervene. This is especially important given the current concerns about rising real estate prices.
For a more comprehensive regulation of the real estate market, credit policies should be combined with the implementation of real estate transfer taxes or property taxes. Moreover, when applying regulatory policies, flexibility should be considered to maintain stability in the real estate market and minimize risks.
In the past two years, condo prices in Hanoi have risen rapidly and significantly. The price gap between Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City’s condo markets has narrowed (in 2019, the primary price gap between the two markets was 30%; by 2024, the gap ranged from 5-7%).
As of the second quarter of 2024, according to surveys and reports from major provinces and cities such as Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City, condo prices have increased by an average of 5-6.5% quarterly and 25% annually, depending on the area and location.
According to the Ministry of Construction, the localized increase in condo prices in major localities like Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City is due to the continued limited new supply and the small number of new projects being launched. The scarcity of mid-range and affordable housing inventory has contributed to price increases in these projects.
Ngoc Mai
