According to the Vietnam Real Estate Brokers Association, the experience of other countries shows that credit policy is one of the important tools for governments to regulate the real estate market. Many of the policies that have been successfully implemented by other countries can be referred to, learned from, and applied in Vietnam.
Based on the lessons learned from these countries, the Association proposes a number of credit policy solutions to regulate the market when there is a fluctuation of more than 20% in 3 months or when there are other real estate market fluctuations that affect socio-economic stability, without affecting the demand for housing for the people.
Real estate prices are soaring. |
The Association proposes tightening credit policies for speculators. Specifically, to reduce the number of people borrowing for speculative purposes or using excessive leverage, credit institutions can adjust the lending limit by adjusting the loan-to-value ratio, requiring a higher ratio of payment with their own capital, or applying higher interest rates for second-home buyers and beyond.
Secondly, it is necessary to strengthen credit monitoring and management. According to the Association’s proposal, the government can impose regulations on credit quality control, requiring banks to provide more detailed reports on real estate-related loans, thereby enhancing risk monitoring. Establishing a credit mechanism for social housing projects, prioritizing capital allocation for the development of social housing and affordable housing to meet the housing needs of low-income earners.
In addition, the state also needs to have a credit loosening policy, including reducing interest rates and supporting long-term loans with preferential interest rates for first-time home buyers or other priority subjects for the purpose of social stability such as newly married couples.
To ensure the accuracy and effectiveness of the policies, the Association believes that the state needs to build a large enough, accurate, and up-to-date database to clearly distinguish between genuine homebuyers and those who are speculating or taking advantage of the market.
Expediting the publication of real estate transaction price indices and some influencing indicators is essential to determine when the state needs to intervene, especially in the context of rising real estate prices as seen today.
For a more comprehensive regulation of the real estate market, credit policies should be combined with the application of real estate transfer tax or property tax. At the same time, the application of regulatory policies should be flexible, ensuring stability and order in the real estate market while minimizing risks.
In the last two years, the condominium market in Hanoi has seen rapid and significant price increases. The price gap between condominiums in Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City is narrowing (in 2019, the primary price gap between the two markets was 30%; by 2024, the gap ranged only between 5-7%).
As of the second quarter of 2024, according to surveys and reports from some major provinces and cities such as Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City, condominium prices have increased by an average of 5-6.5% quarterly and 25% annually, depending on the area and location.
According to the Ministry of Construction, the increase in condominium prices in some major localities such as Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City is due to the continued limited new supply and the small number of new projects being launched. The scarcity of supply in the middle and affordable segments has contributed to the rise in prices in these projects.
Ngoc Mai