On December 6, FTSE Russell is expected to announce the constituent stocks of the FTSE Vietnam All-share and FTSE Vietnam Index (FTSE ETF reference). On December 13, MarketVector will also announce the MarketVector Vietnam Local Index (VanEck Vectors Vietnam ETF – VNM ETF reference).

December 20 is expected to be the day for the completion of the restructuring of the portfolios of the reference ETFs according to these indexes, and the new portfolios will take effect from December 23, 2024.

In its latest report, DSC Securities has made predictions about the constituent stocks and the number of stocks to be bought/sold for the reference ETFs according to the indexes.

For the MarketVector Vietnam Local (VNM ETF reference) index, DSC predicts that the index will add three new stocks: Viettel Post (VTP), NamA Bank (NAB), and MB Securities (MBS). According to DSC, thanks to the significant increase in free-float market capitalization and liquidity, the number of stocks meeting the screening criteria has increased considerably. However, according to the rule of selecting the top 85% of capitalization, these three stocks are likely to be included in the portfolio.

Conversely, no stocks are expected to be removed from the index during this quarter’s review.

The new index portfolio will focus on the real estate sector (~29%), food and beverage (~15%), and securities (~12%). The five stocks with the highest expected weights are VHM (8%), VNM (8%), VIC (7%), HPG (6.5%), and VCB (6%), accounting for a total of 35.5% of the total portfolio weight.

With these changes, DSC estimates that the VNM ETF will buy a significant additional amount of VIX (14.9 million shares), MSN (7.2 million shares), NAB (8.5 million shares), and VNM (3.1 million shares). The ETF will also sell VIC (2.5 million shares), HUT (3 million shares), VND (3.4 million shares), and NVL (3.9 million shares) to restructure its portfolio.

Currently, VNM ETF is the second-largest foreign fund in the Vietnamese market, with total assets under management of more than VND 11,257 billion and 38.2 million shares outstanding. Since the beginning of the year, the fund’s total assets have decreased by more than 8%, and it has experienced net outflows of more than VND 788 billion.

Regarding the FTSE Vietnam Index (FTSE ETF reference) , DSC projects that no new stocks will be added to the index, while EVF may be removed due to failing to maintain the required market capitalization. The new index portfolio will focus on the real estate sector (~30%), securities (~14%), and banking (~13%). The five stocks with the highest weights are expected to be HPG (13.2%), VHM (10.0%), VCB (9.2%), VNM (8.7%), and VIC (7.6%).

With these changes, DSC estimates that the FTSE ETF will buy VHM (1.4 million shares), HPG (772,000 shares), and VCB (653,000 shares). The ETF will also sell SSI (3.9 million shares), EVF (1.3 million shares), and VIC (1.3 million shares) during the restructuring.

Currently, the FTSE ETF is the third-largest foreign fund in the Vietnamese market, with total assets under management of more than VND 6,788 billion and over 10.6 million fund certificates. Specifically, the fund’s total asset value has decreased by -21%, and net outflows have reached -VND 1,582.6 billion compared to the beginning of the year.

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