“Caution Prevails in the Gold and Stock Markets”

A cautious sentiment is prevailing in the gold and stock markets, from Asia to the US. All eyes are on the Federal Reserve's Jackson Hole symposium, with market participants eagerly awaiting clues regarding the future direction of monetary policy.

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Gold Prices Hold Steady

In today’s trading session (August 19), spot gold prices held steady at $3,331.49 per ounce. Gold futures for December delivery in the US dipped slightly by 0.1% to $3,375.40.

This week’s most anticipated event is the speech by Fed Chair Jerome Powell at the central bank’s annual symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, from August 21-23. His speech could provide further insights into the economic outlook and the Fed’s monetary policy direction.

Kyle Rodda, a market analyst at Capital.com, commented: “Gold prices are consolidating and waiting for a new catalyst to break out. I think the big event to watch is the Jackson Hole symposium and whether the Fed signals a more dovish stance.”

Gold market stands still ahead of crucial meetings.

According to the CME’s FedWatch tool, markets predict an 84% likelihood that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its next meeting. Gold tends to perform well in low-interest rate environments and heightened uncertainty. The minutes from the Fed’s July meeting, due to be released on Wednesday, will provide further insights.

On the political front, US President Donald Trump assured Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy that Washington would guarantee Ukraine’s security in any peace deal with Russia. This commitment follows a meeting between Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin in Alaska, which did not result in any agreements.

Trump described his meeting with Zelenskiy as “very good” and stated that he had called Putin to arrange a three-way meeting.

“In the event that some kind of deal is signed between Ukraine and Russia, that could be a negative surprise for gold prices,” added Kyle Rodda.

Silver spot prices dipped by 0.5% to $37.82 per ounce, while platinum rose by 0.1% to $1,323.76, and palladium fell by 0.9% to $1,112.34.

Oil prices also declined during the Asian trading session as investors anticipated tripartite talks between Russia, Ukraine, and the US, which could lead to the lifting of sanctions on Russian crude oil.

Brent crude futures for October delivery dipped by 7 cents (0.11%) to $66.53 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures for September delivery fell by 6 cents (0.09%) to $63.36 per barrel.

Stock Markets Tread Cautiously

Asian stock markets witnessed minor declines, reflecting investor caution ahead of the US central bank meetings and positive diplomatic signals.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 index fell by 0.11% after hitting a new high in the previous session. Shares of SoftBank Group plunged by 5.69% following its announcement of a $2 billion investment in Intel at $23 per share, below Intel’s closing price.

South Korea’s Kospi index dropped by 0.31%, while the Kosdaq index fell by 0.67%. China’s CSI 300 index remained flat, and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index slipped by 0.12%.

Stock markets exhibit caution.

In the US, the three major indexes ended the session nearly unchanged. The Dow Jones fell by 0.08%, the S&P 500 dipped by 0.01%, while the Nasdaq Composite edged up by 0.03%. The decline was led by large-cap tech stocks like Meta Platforms (-2.3%) and Microsoft (-0.6%).

European stock futures edged higher, with Euro Stoxx 50 futures rising by 0.3%, Germany’s DAX futures climbing by 0.2%, and FTSE futures gaining 0.3%.

The uptick came after Ukrainian President Zelenskiy stated that national security issues would be addressed within the next ten days, following his talks with Trump and European leaders. NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte told Fox News that the meeting between Trump, Zelenskiy, and European partners was very successful.

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