The Warrant Market Week of August 25-29, 2025: Ablaze with the Underlying Market

The trading session on August 22, 2025, concluded with a mixed performance across the market. Amidst a sea of 243 stocks, 28 emerged victorious with upward trends, while 215 succumbed to downward pressures. The remaining 16 stocks remained unchanged, serving as a stalwart anchor in this tempestuous market climate. Foreign investors maintained their cautious stance, offloading a net sell-off of 4.84 million covered warrants.

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I. MARKET DEVELOPMENT OF WARRANTS

As of the trading session on August 22, 2025, the market closed with 28 advancing codes, 215 declining codes, and 16 reference codes.

Market breadth over the last 20 sessions. Unit: Percentage

 

Source: VietstockFinance

In the trading session on August 22, 2025, sellers dominated the market, causing most of the warrant codes to decline in price. Specifically, the large cap warrant codes in the declining group were CVPB2513, CVHM2511, CMBB2511, and CTCB2507.

Source: VietstockFinance

The total market trading volume in the August 22 session reached 104.21 million CWs, up 36.16%; the trading value reached VND 305.28 billion, up 55.7% compared to the August 21 session. Of which, CVIB2504 was the code that led the market in terms of volume and value, with a total volume of 5.17 million CWs, equivalent to a value of VND 21.85 billion.

Foreign investors continued to sell a net in the August 22 session with a total net selling volume of 4.84 million CWs. In particular, CHPG2512 and CMSN2506 were the two codes that were net sold the most. For the whole week, foreign investors net sold more than 6.57 million CWs.

Securities companies SSI, ACBS, KIS, HCM, and VPBank are currently the organizations with the most warrant codes in the market.

Source: VietstockFinance

II. MARKET STATISTICS

Source: VietstockFinance

III. WARRANT PRICING

Based on the appropriate pricing method for the initial period of August 25, 2025, the reasonable prices of the warrants currently traded in the market are as follows:

Source: VietstockFinance

Note: The opportunity cost in the pricing model is adjusted to suit the Vietnamese market. Specifically, the risk-free bill rate (government bill rate) will be replaced by the average deposit interest rate of large banks with term adjustments suitable for each type of warrant.

According to the above pricing, CVHM2515 and CVPB2521 are currently the two warrant codes with the most attractive pricing.

The higher the effective gearing ratio of a warrant code, the greater the increase/decrease in its price relative to the underlying stock. Currently, CVNM2512 and CMSN2506 are the two warrant codes with the highest effective gearing ratios in the market.

Economic Analysis and Market Strategy Department, Vietstock Consulting Department

– 18:58 24/08/2025

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