The Warrant Market on August 27, 2025: Is the Outlook Less Grim?

The trading session on August 26, 2025, concluded with a positive note for the market, witnessing 224 advancing stocks, 21 declining stocks, and 14 stocks remaining unchanged. Foreign investors continued their net-selling trend, offloading a total of 2.69 million covered warrants.

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I. MARKET DEVELOPMENT OF WARRANTS

As of the close of the trading session on August 26, 2025, the market witnessed 224 advancing codes, 21 declining codes, and 14 reference codes.

Market breadth over the last 20 sessions. Unit: Percentage

Source: VietstockFinance

During the trading session on August 26, 2025, buyers dominated the market, causing most of the warrant codes to increase in price. Specifically, the large codes in the group that increased in price were CVPB2513, CMBB2511, CVHM2514, and CVIC2509.

Source: VietstockFinance

The total market volume in the August 26 session reached 67.57 million CW, down 4.71%; the value of transactions reached VND 156.22 billion, down 13.82% compared to the previous session. Of which, CHPG2406 was the code leading the market in volume with 3.55 million CW; CTPB2502 led in transaction value with VND 6.2 billion.

Foreigners continued to sell a net in the session of August 26, with a total net selling volume of 2.69 million CW. Of which, CMSN2508 and CHPG2512 were the two codes that were net sold the most.

Securities companies SSI, ACBS, HCM, KIS, and VPBank are currently the organizations with the most warrant codes in the market.

Source: VietstockFinance

II. MARKET STATISTICS

Source: VietstockFinance

III. WARRANT VALUATION

Based on the valuation method suitable for the starting point of August 27, 2025, the reasonable prices of the warrants currently traded in the market are as follows:

Source: VietstockFinance

Note: The opportunity cost in the valuation model is adjusted to suit the Vietnamese market. Specifically, the risk-free bill rate (government bill rate) will be replaced by the average deposit interest rate of large banks with term adjustments suitable for each type of warrant.

According to the above valuation, CVHM2515 and CVHM2508 are currently the two warrant codes with the most attractive valuations.

The higher the effective gearing ratio of the warrant codes, the greater the increase/decrease with the underlying securities. Currently, CVNM2512 and CHPG2512 are the two warrant codes with the highest effective gearing ratio in the market.

Department of Economic Analysis & Market Strategy, Vietstock Consulting Department

– 18:58 26/08/2025

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