Vietnam’s agricultural, forestry, and aquatic product exports reached an impressive $39.68 billion as of the end of July, marking a 14.7% increase compared to the same period last year. Coffee continues to shine as the leading export commodity, generating $6 billion in revenue, equivalent to 1.1 million tons. This remarkable performance translates to a 7.6% increase in volume and a significant 65.1% surge in value year-on-year. These figures have already surpassed the total coffee export value of 2024, which stood at $5.48 billion.
The average export price for coffee during the seven-month period reached $5,672 per ton, reflecting a substantial 53.4% increase. Germany, Italy, and Spain remain the top three consumers of Vietnamese coffee, with market shares of 15.3%, 7.6%, and 7.5%, respectively. Notably, Germany’s import value doubled compared to the previous year.
According to the Import and Export Department of the Ministry of Industry and Trade, limited supply, unstable policies of coffee-importing countries (such as the US), and strong buying power from investment funds have driven up coffee prices. In the context of global economic instability, Vietnamese Robusta coffee has become a preferred choice for both importers and consumers due to its competitive pricing.
The US Department of Agriculture (USDA) forecasts Vietnam’s coffee production for the 2025/26 crop year to reach 31 million bags (green bean equivalent). This includes an estimated 30 million bags of Robusta and approximately 1 million bags of Arabica. With favorable weather conditions, rising coffee prices, and increased production, Vietnam is well-positioned to continue its strong growth in coffee exports throughout the second half of 2025.
The final months of 2025 are expected to witness a positive outlook for Vietnamese coffee exports, driven by robust demand recovery in European, American, and Asian markets, coupled with sustained high global coffee prices. However, the industry also faces challenges related to weather fluctuations, logistics costs, and increasingly stringent quality and traceability requirements. Maintaining stable supply, promoting deep processing, and enhancing product standards are key to sustaining this growth momentum throughout 2025.
The Ministry of Agriculture and Environment of Vietnam has predicted that the country’s coffee exports for the full year of 2025 will confidently reach $7.5 billion and may even surpass $8 billion, far exceeding the initial target set for the year.
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