Market Outlook for Warrants in Week 29/09–03/10/2025: A Mixed Trading Landscape

At the close of trading on September 26, 2025, the market saw 75 stocks rise, 159 fall, and 37 remain unchanged. Foreign investors continued their net selling streak, offloading a total of 1.76 million CW.

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I. MARKET TRENDS IN WARRANTS

By the close of trading on September 26, 2025, the market saw 75 gainers, 159 decliners, and 37 unchanged stocks.

Market Breadth Over the Last 20 Sessions. Unit: Percentage

 

Source: VietstockFinance

During the September 26, 2025 session, sellers continued to dominate the market, driving down the prices of most warrant codes. Notably, the major warrant codes in the declining group were CVPB2513, CSTB2515, CVHM2513, and CMBB2511.

Source: VietstockFinance

Total market volume on September 26 reached 34.28 million CW, up 6.11%; trading value hit 73.6 billion VND, down 2.03% compared to September 25. Among these, CFPT2512 led in volume with 1.74 million CW, while CMWG2511 topped in trading value at 3.61 billion VND.

Foreign investors continued net selling on September 26, with a total net sell of 1.76 million CW. CMSN2517 and CHPG2514 were the most heavily net-sold codes. For the week, foreign investors net-sold over 10.58 million CW.

Securities firms SSI, ACBS, KIS, HCM, and VPBankS are currently the issuers with the most warrant codes in the market.

Source: VietstockFinance

II. MARKET STATISTICS

Source: VietstockFinance

III. WARRANT VALUATION

Based on the valuation method suitable for the starting date of September 29, 2025, the reasonable prices of warrants currently trading in the market are as follows:

Source: VietstockFinance

Note: The opportunity cost in the valuation model has been adjusted to suit the Vietnamese market. Specifically, the risk-free treasury bill rate (Government Treasury Bill) is replaced by the average deposit rate of major banks, with term adjustments appropriate for each type of warrant.

According to the above valuation, CVIC2507 and CVIC2508 are currently the two most attractively priced warrant codes.

Warrant codes with higher effective gearing will experience larger fluctuations in response to the underlying stock. Currently, CVNM2512 and CVRE2514 are the two warrant codes with the highest effective gearing in the market.

Economic Analysis & Market Strategy Division, Vietstock Advisory Department

– 17:58 28/09/2025

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