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Today’s Coffee Prices (Oct 9): A Dramatic Surge – Is Vietnam’s Robusta Crown at Risk?

Coffee prices surged today, with both Robusta and Arabica beans experiencing a robust rally following two consecutive days of gains earlier this week.

Administrator

9 October, 2025

In the overnight trading session ending early this morning (October 9-10, Vietnam time), coffee prices surged significantly. Robusta coffee on the London exchange rose by 83-128 USD/ton, while Arabica on the New York exchange climbed by 2.39%-2.58%.

Coffee Prices Surge by Triple Digits Today

For the benchmark contracts, the November 2025 Robusta futures increased by 128 USD/ton to 4,542 USD/ton, and the December 2025 Arabica futures rose by 210 USD/ton to 8,490 USD/ton.

This session’s prices for nearby delivery contracts outpacing those for distant contracts highlight concerns over short-term supply shortages.

Today’s coffee prices in Vietnam’s Central Highlands are expected to rebound strongly, starting from 113,800 VND/kg before the London session begins.

Notably, Dak Lak recorded the highest price at 114,000 VND/kg, followed by Lam Dong at 113,000 VND/kg, and Gia Lai at 113,500 VND/kg.

Is Vietnamese Robusta Losing Its Crown?

As the world’s leading producer and exporter of Robusta coffee, Vietnam’s harvest season beginning in October has prompted international organizations to release related studies.

According to Rabobank (Netherlands), Brazil is poised to overtake Vietnam as the largest Robusta producer globally, with an estimated output of 24.7 million 60-kg bags this year, up from 19 million bags in 2020.

Meanwhile, the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) forecasts Vietnam’s Robusta production this crop year to reach approximately 30 million bags.

Compared to Arabica, Robusta boasts higher biological resilience, enabling better tolerance to drought, heat, pests, and diseases, while also delivering higher yields.

In Indonesia, this harvest season is expected to yield around 12 million bags of coffee, with Robusta accounting for approximately 10.2 million bags.

In the first five months of the crop year, Indonesia exported over 2.8 million bags of Robusta, a 163% increase compared to the same period last year.