Despite Sanctions, Russia’s Last Gas Pipeline to Europe Surges to Five-Year High

The gas pipeline continues to operate robustly, underscoring the enduring and inextricable energy ties between Russia and Europe.

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According to TASS data, Russia has recorded the highest-ever volume of natural gas exports to Europe via the TurkStream pipeline, as reported by the European Network of Transmission System Operators for Gas (ENTSOG).

In October, Russian gas flow through TurkStream to European countries reached 1.68 billion cubic meters, a 9% increase from September and a 13% rise compared to the same period last year. This marks a record high since the pipeline’s launch in 2020.

For the first ten months of 2025, exports via this route increased by 7.6%, totaling 14.7 billion cubic meters.

TASS estimates that TurkStream’s average utilization in October was 96%, with a daily flow of 54.3 million cubic meters, second only to the record set in February.

TurkStream, the sole remaining operational pipeline delivering Russian gas to Europe, originates at the Russkaya compressor station near Anapa, crosses the Black Sea to Turkey, and branches out to supply Southern and Southeastern European nations.

With the suspension of transit routes through Ukraine and the Nord Stream pipeline, TurkStream is now regarded as the “last energy lifeline” connecting Russia to the European market.

In 2024, Russian gas deliveries to Europe via TurkStream surged by 23%, reaching 16.7 billion cubic meters. Hungary received a historic high of 8.6 billion cubic meters. Total Russian pipeline gas exports to Europe last year hit 32.1 billion cubic meters, a 14% increase year-on-year.

Additionally, Russia boosted gas supplies to Turkey by 2.6%, exceeding 21 billion cubic meters through the Blue Stream and TurkStream Black Sea routes.

Analysts suggest that TurkStream’s new record highlights Russia’s energy pivot. Instead of relying on traditional transit routes via Ukraine or the Baltics, Moscow is strengthening Turkey’s role as a strategic energy hub—the remaining gateway for Russian gas to reach Europe.

While the European Union (EU) aims to phase out Russian oil and gas imports by 2028, the demand for affordable, stable energy supplies keeps this “last lifeline” thriving. This underscores the enduring energy ties between Russia and Europe, at least in the short term.

On October 30, Leonid Mikhelson, CEO of Russia’s Novatek gas company, warned that excluding Russian liquefied natural gas (LNG) from global markets could trigger a sharp price hike.

Speaking at the Eurasian Economic Forum in Verona, Mikhelson noted that Russia accounts for over 10% of global LNG production. He described the complete removal of this supply as “unrealistic.”

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