December 30, 2025: A Mixed Bag of Green and Red in the Warrant Market

As the trading session closed on December 29, 2025, the market witnessed 116 stocks advancing, 109 declining, and 34 remaining unchanged. Foreign investors continued their net selling streak, offloading a total of VND 4.37 billion worth of shares.

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I. MARKET DYNAMICS OF WARRANTS

By the close of the trading session on December 29, 2025, the market recorded 116 gainers, 109 decliners, and 34 unchanged securities.

Market Breadth Over the Last 20 Sessions. Unit: Percentage

 

Source: VietstockFinance

During the December 29, 2025 session, the market exhibited mixed movements, with buyers gaining a slight edge, leading to price increases in most warrant codes. Notably, the top gainers included CSTB2515, CVHM2516, CMWG2511, and CMBB2511.

Source: VietstockFinance

Total market volume on December 29 reached 33.42 million CW, down 48.76%; trading value hit 60.26 billion VND, a 54.42% decline compared to the December 26 session. CVPB2525 led in volume with 1.96 million CW, while CSTB2521 topped in trading value at 3.27 billion VND.

Foreign investors continued net selling on December 29, totaling 4.37 billion VND. CSTB2529 and CVPB2525 were the most heavily net-sold warrants.

Securities firms HCM, SSI, KIS, and ACBS are currently the leading issuers with the most warrant codes in the market.

Source: VietstockFinance

II. MARKET STATISTICS

Source: VietstockFinance

III. WARRANT VALUATION

Based on the valuation method applicable from December 30, 2025, the fair prices of warrants currently trading are as follows:

Source: VietstockFinance

Note: Opportunity costs in the valuation model have been adjusted to align with the Vietnamese market. Specifically, the risk-free rate (Government Treasury bills) is replaced by the average deposit rate of major banks, adjusted for the respective warrant maturities.

According to the valuation, CVIC2509 and CVIC2513 are currently the most attractively priced warrants.

Warrants with higher effective gearing exhibit greater volatility relative to their underlying securities. Currently, CVNM2510 and CVNM2517 have the highest effective gearing ratios in the market.

Economic Analysis & Market Strategy Division, Vietstock Advisory Department

– 18:58 December 29, 2025

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