MARKET ANALYSIS FOR THE WEEK OF DECEMBER 29-31, 2025
During the week of December 29-31, 2025, the VN-Index continued its third consecutive week of recovery, forming a Big White Candle pattern and revisiting the October 2025 peak levels.
The index is currently trading near the Upper Band of the Bollinger Bands, although trading volume remains inconsistent. Improved liquidity will be crucial in the coming weeks for the VN-Index to decisively break through this resistance zone and establish a new upward trend.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Trend and Price Oscillation Analysis
VN-Index – Third Consecutive Session Gain
On December 31, 2025, the VN-Index marked its third straight session of gains, forming a Three White Soldiers candlestick pattern alongside increasing trading volume, indicating optimistic investor sentiment.
Currently, the VN-Index is testing the October 2025 highs (around 1,740-1,795 points) and remains above the Middle Band of the Bollinger Bands. Additionally, the MACD indicator continues to rise, further supporting the short-term recovery momentum.
HNX-Index – Re-testing the 200-Day SMA
On December 31, 2025, the HNX-Index experienced sideways movement, forming a small-bodied candlestick and re-testing the 200-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA).
The Middle Band of the Bollinger Bands will continue to act as strong resistance in the near term. Meanwhile, the formation of lower highs and lower lows suggests a potential short-term downtrend.
Liquidity Analysis
Smart Money Flow Dynamics: The Negative Volume Index for the VN-Index remains above the 20-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). If this condition persists in the next session, the risk of a sudden downturn (thrust down) will diminish.
Foreign Investor Flow Dynamics: Foreign investors continued to net buy on December 31, 2025. Sustained buying activity from foreign investors in upcoming sessions would further bolster market optimism.
Technical Analysis Team, Vietstock Advisory Department
– 16:58 January 4, 2026
Market Pulse 05/01: Financial Sector Faces Heavy Selling, VN-Index Narrows Gains
At the close of trading, the VN-Index rose 3.91 points (+0.22%) to 1,788.4 points, while the HNX-Index fell 2.03 points (-0.82%) to 246.74 points. Market breadth was predominantly negative, with 437 decliners outpacing 255 advancers. Similarly, the VN30 basket saw red dominate, with 22 decliners, 7 advancers, and 1 unchanged stock.
Market Pulse 08/01: VN-Index Closes in the Red Amid Unexpected Correction
The VN-Index seemed poised for another bullish session as it kicked off the afternoon with promising momentum. However, a sudden downturn erased all gains, pushing the index back below the reference point.
Vietstock Daily 09/01/2026: Cooling Off After a Strong Rally
The VN-Index retraced after a six-session winning streak, accompanied by trading volume surpassing its 20-day average. Short-term outlook remains positive as the index closely tracks the upper Bollinger Band and MACD sustains its upward trajectory, though volatility risks may rise with the Stochastic Oscillator venturing deeper into overbought territory.
Vietstock Daily 07/01/2026: Embarking on a New Journey?
The VN-Index extended its winning streak to a fifth consecutive session, marked by a robust green candle, decisively breaching the previous October 2025 peak to reinforce the prevailing uptrend. Short-term outlook remains highly optimistic, supported by both the Stochastic Oscillator and MACD indicators sustaining their upward trajectories following buy signals.
Vietstock Daily 06/01/2026: Intense Tug-of-War in the Market
The VN-Index continues to fiercely oscillate around its October 2025 peak (equivalent to the 1,740-1,795 point range). With the Stochastic Oscillator signaling a buy opportunity and the MACD sustaining its upward momentum, short-term risks appear manageable. However, investors should remain cautious of potential volatility as the index navigates a robust resistance zone.
