BlackRock, the asset management giant overseeing over $13 trillion, has released its “2026 Global Outlook” report, spotlighting Vietnam as a standout among emerging markets (EMs), alongside Mexico and Brazil.
Emerging markets enjoyed a robust 2025, with local currency EM bonds leading the charge as inflation cooled, central banks cut rates, and EM currencies strengthened against a weakening USD. BlackRock suggests this phase is nearing its end, as early policy easing and currency appreciation have largely been priced into yields.
The firm now sees opportunities in hard-currency EM bonds and has shifted to overweight this segment. A softer USD, lower U.S. rates, and prudent fiscal and monetary policies have bolstered EM credit fundamentals, evidenced by a wave of sovereign credit upgrades. Yield spreads are at multi-decade lows across regions, supported by limited supply and stronger balance sheets.
“We favor high-yield EM issuers leading this year’s sovereign upgrades,” the report states. BlackRock views these upgrades as a sign of improving credit quality, coupled with attractive yields, forming the basis for its overweight stance. The firm prefers EM bonds over equities, citing their potential for steadier income and better short-term risk pricing.
“Today’s average EM is more resilient, better managed, and increasingly a core portfolio component,” emphasized BlackRock’s Head of EM Bond Research and Portfolio Management.
In equities, BlackRock maintains a neutral short-term view on EM stocks, as global megatrends create opportunities but USD direction remains unclear.
The firm favors selective exposure to technology, AI-related themes, and energy transitions across EMs and China. It also highlights how global supply chain reshuffling benefits nations like Mexico, Brazil, and Vietnam.
Strategically, over a 5+ year horizon, BlackRock’s overweight allocation to Indian equities drives its overall EM equity overweight. India’s young, growing workforce, rapid digitalization, and geopolitical resilience are expected to fuel long-term growth.
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BlackRock Highlights Vietnam as a Promising Emerging Market
BlackRock, the asset management giant overseeing over $13 trillion, has spotlighted Vietnam as a standout within emerging markets, alongside Mexico and Brazil.
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