The European Chamber of Commerce in Vietnam (EuroCham) has announced the Business Confidence Index (BCI) for Q4-2025, reaching 80 points—the highest level in seven years.
This result signifies a robust and sustained recovery in business confidence among European enterprises in Vietnam, even as the global economic environment remains fraught with uncertainties.
Confidence extends beyond the short term
Specifically, the BCI increased by 13.5 points in Q4, the most significant quarterly rise in 15 years. This reflects a notable and uniform improvement in both current business conditions and future expectations.
Additionally, 65% of businesses positively assessed current conditions, rising to 69% for Q1-2026, indicating continued optimism as the new year begins.
After years of global disruptions, the Q4-2025 BCI surge shows European businesses in Vietnam have returned to a positive growth trajectory, surpassing pre-U.S. tariff and pre-COVID-19 levels.
Beyond short-term optimism, the Q4/2025 BCI survey reveals strong medium-term confidence, with 88% of European businesses optimistic about Vietnam’s prospects from 2026-2030, including 31% who are “very optimistic.”
Furthermore, 82% anticipate continued business growth in 2026. European businesses believe Vietnam’s current momentum is sustainable, underpinned by solid fundamentals for the coming years.
Vietnam’s appeal is further validated, with 87% of businesses willing to recommend it as an investment destination, particularly among large-scale enterprises.
European businesses in Vietnam are optimistic about business prospects. Photo: X.Đ |
EuroCham Chairman Bruno Jaspaert noted that this confidence is not mere expectation but is grounded in stable operations, recovering orders, and ongoing investment decisions.
“Vietnam is entering a structural transformation phase, solidifying its role as a key growth driver toward becoming one of ASEAN’s top three economies,” Jaspaert stated.
European businesses also praised Resolution 68 on private sector development. EuroCham expects further improvements in administrative procedures, visas, and foreign labor permits.
Confidence in infrastructure and public investment
According to EuroCham’s survey, 53% of businesses cited complex administrative procedures and inconsistent regulations as challenges.
These include unclear or inconsistently applied rules, customs procedures, trade barriers, and visa/work permit restrictions.
Such issues cause delays, increase administrative costs, and reduce productivity.
Despite these challenges, the BCI survey highlights Vietnam’s growth drivers, reform roadmap, and investment foundation as key confidence boosters for European businesses.
Notably, businesses acknowledge government efforts, from December 2025 infrastructure projects to resolutions simplifying and digitizing administrative procedures.
The survey predicts that infrastructure development and public investment will drive growth in the next 12-18 months, particularly in construction, trade, logistics, and consumer-focused sectors.
Administrative efficiency and predictability are also critical. While global uncertainties are manageable, legal and procedural inconsistencies remain direct barriers.
MINH TRÚC
– 11:57 13/01/2026
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