January 23, 2026: Warrant Market Continues to Show Divergence

As the trading session closed on January 22, 2026, the market witnessed 110 stocks advancing, 165 declining, and 48 remaining unchanged. Foreign investors continued their net selling streak, offloading a total of VND 3.08 billion worth of shares.

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I. MARKET TRENDS IN WARRANTS

By the close of trading on January 22, 2026, the market recorded 110 advancing codes, 165 declining codes, and 48 unchanged codes.

Market Breadth Over the Last 20 Sessions. Unit: Percentage


Source: VietstockFinance

During the January 22, 2026 session, sellers continued to dominate the market, driving most warrant codes into negative territory. Notably, the major warrant codes in the declining group were CVHM2511, CMBB2511, CVPB2516, and CVIC2514.

Source: VietstockFinance

Total market volume on January 22 reached 47.5 million CW, down 38.38%; trading value hit 115.75 billion VND, a 25.62% decrease compared to the January 21 session. Among these, CMWG2521 led the market in volume with 2.49 million CW, while CSTB2514 topped trading value at 15.08 billion VND.

Foreign investors continued net selling in the January 22 session, totaling 3.08 billion VND. CMWG2521 and CFPT2525 were the two most heavily net-sold codes.

Securities companies ACBS, VND, VPX, and SSI are currently the issuers with the most warrant codes in the market.

Source: VietstockFinance

II. MARKET STATISTICS

Source: VietstockFinance

III. WARRANT VALUATION

Based on the valuation method applicable from the starting date of January 23, 2026, the fair prices of the 10 largest-cap warrants with superior liquidity (both in value and order-matched volume) during the session are as follows: Source: VietstockFinance

Note: Opportunity costs in the valuation model have been adjusted to align with the Vietnamese market. Specifically, the risk-free treasury bill rate (Government Treasury Bill) is replaced by the average deposit rate of major banks, with maturity adjustments suitable for each warrant type.

According to the above valuation, CVHM2512 and CSTB2528 are currently the two most attractively priced warrant codes.

Warrant codes with higher effective gearing will exhibit greater volatility in response to underlying stock movements. Currently, CMBB2518 and CSTB2528 are the two warrant codes with the highest effective gearing in the market.

Economic Analysis & Market Strategy Division, Vietstock Consulting Department

– 18:58 22/01/2026

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