Today, October 6th, major coffee trading floors worldwide will open in the afternoon (Vietnam time) with November 2025 Robusta futures starting at $4,527 per ton and December 2025 Arabica futures at $8,610 per ton.
Anticipating Coffee Prices
Coffee plantation owners are closely monitoring prices as the new harvest approaches. Pricing is a critical factor determining the success of their year-long investment and care.
Domestic coffee prices currently stand at 116,900 VND/kg, a 1.21% increase from last week. This is a positive sign as Vietnam officially enters the 2025-2026 crop year.
Vietnam’s coffee cultivation area now spans approximately 764,400 hectares, a 16,600-hectare increase compared to last year. Over 600,000 hectares are currently yielding harvests, primarily in the Central Highlands. Last season, coffee exports alone generated over $8 billion in revenue.
Vietnam’s coffee harvest is underway
Expert Insights
In an interview with Bao Nguoi Lao Dong, expert Nguyen Quang Binh highlights three positive and two negative factors influencing this season’s coffee prices.
On the positive side, first, the U.S. has lowered and will continue to lower interest rates, reducing capital costs and encouraging investment in coffee markets.
Second, unresolved U.S. countervailing duties will disrupt supply chains, driving prices higher.
Third, reduced available inventories in key consumer markets like Europe, Japan, and the U.S. compared to pre-COVID-19 levels will support coffee prices.
Negatively, most forecasts predict a bumper crop in Vietnam and Brazil, which could increase supply and pressure prices downward.
Additionally, U.S. countervailing duties causing inventory congestion may lead to panic selling if prices drop sharply.
The EU’s Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) is likely to face further delays, meaning it won’t impact coffee prices in the near term.
Today’s Coffee Prices (Sept 30): Slight Decline as Harvest Season Begins
Coffee prices have dipped today, prompting a flurry of activity in Vietnam’s Central Highlands as coffee plantations gear up for the upcoming harvest after a year of significant investment.
Coffee Exports: Will Mild Price Fluctuations Sustain the “Golden Phase”?
Vietnamese coffee prices have dipped following a meteoric rise, yet remain at historically high levels. Is this a technical correction or a harbinger of the end to the “golden era”?
Today’s Coffee Prices (Sept 17): Slight Decline as Brazilian Coffee Shifts from US to EU Markets
Coffee prices today experienced a slight downward adjustment following four consecutive sessions of gains on the Robusta market.
Shining Golden Seasons Illuminate the Economy of the Central Highlands
The year 2023 posed numerous challenges for the provinces of the Central Highlands in carrying out their socio-economic development tasks. However, despite these difficulties, the average income of the people in the Central Highlands still increased significantly thanks to abundant and high-priced harvest seasons, while also creating substantial resources for the continued development of the Central Highlands economy.
