Why Do Property Prices Keep Rising? Exploring Effective Solutions to Curb the Trend

In recent years, the relentless surge in real estate prices, particularly in housing and condominiums, has far outpaced the average income of the majority of workers. Despite numerous aggressive and continuous solutions being implemented, the challenge of stabilizing property prices remains a complex puzzle yet to be solved.

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Mr. Nguyen Tien Thoa – Chairman of the Vietnam Valuation Association, former Director General of the Price Management Department, Ministry of Finance. Photo: MarketTimes

Regarding this issue, MarketTimes is honored to present the full article by Mr. Nguyen Tien Thoa – Chairman of the Vietnam Valuation Association, former Director General of the Price Management Department, Ministry of Finance.

Since our country implemented the economic reform, the pricing mechanism for goods and services in general, and the real estate pricing mechanism in particular, has gradually shifted towards a market-based approach. This shift, influenced by the “invisible hand” and regulated by the state, has demonstrated positive effects on the economy.

However, alongside its benefits, this mechanism inherently contains elements of spontaneity that can negatively impact the economy. These are the “flaws” of the market mechanism, leading to market “failures” in efficiency, fairness, macroeconomic stability, public goods, information, and imperfect markets.

The state, in its role as the coordinator of a mixed economic model, must not only facilitate and enhance the positive effects of the “invisible hand” but also address these flaws to ensure sustainable economic growth and efficiency through appropriate tools aligned with objective economic laws.

Vietnam’s real estate market operates within this context and has shown signs of “exceeding state control over prices,” as questioned by the Prime Minister and General Secretary: “Why are real estate prices so high?” (This can be interpreted as: Why are real estate prices unreasonably high compared to income, living standards, and the overall socio-economic landscape?).

Some argue that the primary cause is the implementation of market-based land pricing under the 2024 Land Law. I share this view, as land pricing has been market-based since the 1993 Land Law, but local governments previously set prices far below market rates and adjusted slowly. In 2024, when prices were aligned with the market, the sudden increase was inevitable.

While high land prices contribute to rising real estate prices, they are not the main cause. Market prices are determined by supply and demand dynamics, not administrative adjustments. To stabilize prices, we must address the root causes rather than impose administrative fixes.

Real estate prices reflect broader economic relationships, such as supply and demand, production and consumption, and money supply. Effective regulation of these factors will lead to a balanced and stable pricing system, benefiting the economy.

Currently, real estate prices reflect market distortions in supply, demand, competition, and speculation. The state’s regulatory measures have been inadequate, leading to unreasonable price increases. To address this, I propose four core solutions:

First: The expansionary credit policy in real estate has fueled demand, creating a cycle of “money drives prices up, prices drive money up.” This makes price stabilization challenging. To break this cycle, credit policies must be tailored to differentiate between speculative and genuine demand, tightening credit for speculation and loosening it for affordable housing and genuine buyers.

Second: Speculation, land hoarding, and market manipulation distort supply and demand, leading to artificial shortages and price volatility. To combat this, administrative and economic measures are needed, including higher taxes on multiple property owners and stricter penalties for land hoarding.

Third: Complex administrative procedures for real estate projects increase costs and delay supply. Streamlining these procedures and reducing compliance costs will help increase market supply.

Fourth: Price manipulation through auctions and bidding wars creates artificial price bubbles. Strengthening auction regulations, increasing deposit requirements, and imposing stricter penalties for manipulative practices will help stabilize prices.

These solutions, focusing on fiscal and monetary policies, must be implemented cohesively alongside medium and long-term measures to achieve market stability. Additionally, land pricing regulations under the Land Law should be revised to ensure transparency and consistency in valuation practices.

References:

[1] Dau Tu Online, October 2, 2025

[2] Vietnam Real Estate Association Report, May 24, 2025

[3] Dau Thau Newspaper, October 10, 2024

[4] Dau Tu Online, December 20, 2024

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