Unveiling the Critical Factors Influencing Gold Prices

This morning (November 8th), domestic gold prices unexpectedly held steady around the 148 million VND per tael mark. Experts reveal key factors influencing gold prices in the coming period.

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Saigon Jewelry Company lists the price of SJC gold bars at VND 146.4 – 148.4 million per tael (buy – sell), unchanged from yesterday morning.

Other gold traders also kept the price of SJC gold bars steady at VND 148.4 million per tael.

Gold ring prices remained stable across brands. Bao Tin Minh Chau JSC set the price at VND 145.8 – 148.8 million per tael, SJC gold rings at VND 143.4 – 145.8 million per tael, and Doji gold rings at VND 144.5 – 147.5 million per tael.

Multiple factors will influence gold prices in the coming period.

At the same time, global gold prices were listed at $4,001 per ounce, up $16 per ounce from yesterday morning.

At a recent press conference, Mr. Shaokai Fan, Regional Director for Asia-Pacific (excluding China) and Global Central Bank Director at the World Gold Council (WGC), stated that trade tariffs between the US and China will remain a key factor affecting gold prices.

According to Mr. Shaokai Fan, investors should consider the following factors impacting gold prices:

First, macroeconomic policies, particularly US monetary policy, with upcoming moves by the Federal Reserve (Fed) regarding interest rate cuts, will positively influence gold.

Second, the Fed’s independence is crucial, directly impacting trust in the US dollar and American institutions, thereby affecting future gold prices.

The WGC expert also noted a significant shift as gold has become a core strategic asset in the portfolios of many institutional investors. If this trend continues, it will support gold prices in the future.

WGC data shows that global exchange-traded fund (ETF) gold holdings increased by 222 tons in Q3, up 134% year-on-year, with global capital inflows reaching $26 billion, bringing total global gold holdings close to an all-time high.

Not only ETFs, but central banks also increased their net gold purchases to 220 tons in Q3, up 28% from Q2 and 10% year-on-year, despite record gold prices.

Since the beginning of the year, net gold purchases have totaled 634 tons, lower than the record levels of the past three years but still significantly higher than pre-2022 levels.

In the currency market, the State Bank of Vietnam set the central exchange rate at VND 25,103 per USD this morning, up 3 dong from yesterday.

At major commercial banks, the USD rate slightly increased to around VND 26,083 – 26,356 per USD (buy – sell).

On the black market, the USD was quoted at VND 27,770 – 27,840 per USD. The gap between free market and bank USD rates remains significant.

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