Vietnam and the Philippines are also set to join the ranks of the world’s largest emerging markets by 2035

S&P Global predicts that the ASEAN region is expected to remain one of the fastest-growing regions in the global economy in the next decade. Indonesia, the largest economy in ASEAN, is set to become one of the world’s leading emerging markets in the next ten years, with its GDP forecast to increase from 1.3 trillion USD in 2022 to 4.1 trillion USD by 2035.

According to S&P Global’s experts, not only Indonesia but also Vietnam and the Philippines are set to join the ranks of the world’s largest emerging markets by 2035. Meanwhile, Malaysia is projected to become one of the advanced economies in the Asia-Pacific region in terms of GDP per capita, with a per capita GDP expected to reach approximately 26,000 USD by 2035.

Was the Philippines’ GDP growth in Q2 higher or lower than Vietnam’s?

According to the latest data released by the Philippine Statistics Authority, the country’s economy expanded by 6.3% in Q2 as the government increased its spending. This growth rate exceeded the forecast in Reuters’ survey of economists and was higher than the 5.8% growth recorded in Q1/2024.

The report showed that in Q2/2024, the Philippine government’s expenditure increased by 10.7% due to infrastructure projects, defense equipment upgrades, and preparations for the upcoming midterm elections in 2025. Meanwhile, household spending, which accounts for 70-80% of the country’s GDP, grew by only 4.6% year-on-year.

Arsenio Balisacan, the Philippine Secretary of Socioeconomic Planning, stated that despite the high GDP growth rate recorded, household spending during this period “did not grow as strongly as expected” as consumers felt the impact of rising interest rates and high inflation.

Nikkei Asia noted that before releasing the quarterly data, the Philippine Statistics Authority revised the January-March growth rate to 5.8% on Wednesday, up from the previously reported 5.7%. This revision was based on upward adjustments in financial activities and wholesale and retail trade sales, along with other factors.

The average GDP growth rate of the Philippines in the past two quarters was 6%. If this pace continues, the economy may achieve the government’s target of 6-7% for the year. This implies that Vietnam is becoming one of the fastest-growing economies in Southeast Asia.

According to the latest report by the General Statistics Office on the socio-economic situation, Vietnam’s GDP in Q2/2024 is estimated to have grown by 6.93% year-on-year, slightly lower than the 7.99% growth rate in Q2/2022 during the 2020-2024 period.

The agriculture, forestry, and fishery sector grew by 3.34%, contributing 5.36% to the total added value of the economy; the industry and construction sector expanded by 8.29%, contributing 45.73%; and the service sector increased by 7.06%, contributing 48.91%.

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