Thai Billionaire’s $5B Sabeco Acquisition Yields $630M in Dividends: Debt Burden Forces ‘Crown Jewel’ to Maintain 35-50% Cash Dividend Payout

ThaiBev's principal and interest repayment burden over the decade from 2017 to 2028 is expected to continue driving Sabeco's high dividend payout policy, both in recent years and moving forward, according to VDSC.

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Since 2017, following the acquisition of Saigon Beer-Alcohol-Beverage Corporation (Sabeco, stock code: SAB) by Thai Beverage—a member of billionaire Charoen Sirivadhanabhakdi’s ecosystem—Sabeco has consistently paid cash dividends at a rate of 35%. Notably, in 2018 and 2022, the company increased cash dividends to 50%.

In 2023, after issuing shares to existing shareholders at a 1:1 ratio from equity (a 100% stock bonus) and doubling its charter capital, Sabeco continued to pay a 35% cash dividend.

In 2024, Sabeco paid a 50% cash dividend.

In total, over the eight years since Thai Beverage’s acquisition, the company has received over VND 14,000 billion in dividends from Sabeco.

A recent report by Rong Viet Securities (VDSC) predicts that Sabeco will maintain its high dividend payout policy, ranging from 35% to 50% in the coming years, due to: (1) no significant new investment plans; and (2) increased dividends to offset interest expenses of 2.4–3% on a USD 4.8 billion loan used to finance ThaiBev’s 2017 acquisition of Sabeco.

VDSC estimates that the total dividends received by ThaiBev from 2018 to present are insufficient to cover the total interest costs of the acquisition loan. This highlights ThaiBev’s ongoing debt burden, including principal and interest repayments from 2017 to 2028, as a key driver for Sabeco’s sustained high dividend policy.

Specifically, on December 29, 2017, Vietnam Beverage (49% owned by ThaiBev) paid VND 110,000 billion (USD 4.84 billion) to the Ministry of Industry and Trade to acquire 53.6% of Sabeco’s shares, becoming the controlling parent company.

To finance this acquisition, ThaiBev and its wholly-owned subsidiary, BeerCo, secured multiple loans totaling nearly USD 5 billion at an average interest rate of 2.5–3% per year.

However, with a two-year term for the USD 4.8 billion loan, ThaiBev refinanced in 2018 by issuing bonds valued at 83% of the acquisition cost. These bonds had terms ranging from 2 to 10 years and average interest rates between 1.76% and 3.6%.

According to VDSC’s estimates, from 2018 to 2025, ThaiBev received approximately VND 14,090 billion in cash dividends from Sabeco.

In contrast, the total interest expense on the acquisition loan is estimated at VND 17,881 billion by 2025, exceeding the dividends received by ThaiBev by nearly VND 3,791 billion.

VDSC notes that the consistent high dividend payouts have reduced Sabeco’s asset scale, with a projected CAGR of -7.2% per year (2024–2029), primarily driving the increase in asset turnover.

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