After reaching a new peak, Vietnam’s stock market has retraced and is now seeking equilibrium. Speaking at the 2026 Business Forum themed “New Growth Spaces: Opportunities and Strategies,” organized by BizLive on October 22, Mr. Nguyen Viet Duc, Digital Business Director at VPBankS, attributed the recent short-term market correction to profit-taking by investors following substantial gains since early 2025.
Since the beginning of 2025, Vietnam’s stock market has surged over 30%, ranking among the world’s top two performers. Mr. Duc identified two scenarios warranting concern: (1) excessive overheating driving valuations to unsustainable levels; and (2) disruptive “collapse” events. “Absent these scenarios, corrections represent opportunities,” he emphasized.
Currently, no indicators suggest the emergence of these risks. According to VPBankS experts, the forward P/E ratio remains at 12x, 20-30% below other emerging markets, maintaining Vietnam’s attractiveness for investors. Recent market declines have already prompted renewed foreign inflows.
For 2026, robust economic growth expectations point to a projected 15% market expansion. However, investors should temper excessive optimism. “Historically, 30%+ annual gains are typically short-lived, with markets reverting to mean growth rates,” Mr. Duc noted.
Over the medium term, Vietnam’s market fundamentals remain solid, supported by 8-10% GDP growth and 3% inflation, sustaining 13-15% annual equity returns. “While profit-taking could trigger a 5% pullback, such dips create entry points for long-term investors,” he added.
Post-upgrade, VPBankS estimates $1.6-2.0 billion in passive fund inflows, with an additional $5-6 billion from active strategies deploying capital at opportune valuations.
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