October 21, 2025: Warrant Market Blazes Alongside Underlying Market

As the trading session closed on October 20, 2025, the market witnessed a mixed performance with 14 stocks advancing, 218 declining, and 29 remaining unchanged. Foreign investors continued their net selling streak, offloading a total of approximately VND 6.42 billion.

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I. MARKET TRENDS IN WARRANTS

By the close of trading on October 20, 2025, the market recorded 14 gainers, 218 decliners, and 29 unchanged securities.

Market Breadth Over the Last 20 Sessions. Unit: Percentage

Source: VietstockFinance

During the October 20, 2025 session, sellers dominated the market, driving down the prices of most warrant codes. Notably, the major warrant codes in the declining group were CVIC2502, CVHM2502, CVIC2509, CVHM2514, and CVPB2513.

Source: VietstockFinance

Total market volume on October 20 reached 65.52 million CW, up 12.33%; trading value hit 174.57 billion VND, down 0.62% compared to the October 17 session. Among these, CMSN2509 led in volume with 2.31 million CW, while CMSN2516 topped in trading value at 6.06 billion VND.

Foreign investors continued net selling in the October 20 session, totaling nearly 6.42 billion VND. CMSN2518 and CVHM2521 were the two most heavily net-sold codes.

Securities companies SSI, ACBS, KIS, and HCM are currently the issuers with the most warrant codes in the market.

Source: VietstockFinance

II. MARKET STATISTICS

Source: VietstockFinance

III. WARRANT VALUATION

Based on the valuation method suitable for the starting date of October 21, 2025, the reasonable prices of warrants currently trading in the market are as follows:

Source: VietstockFinance

Note: Opportunity costs in the valuation model have been adjusted to suit the Vietnamese market. Specifically, the risk-free treasury bill rate (Government Treasury Bill) is replaced by the average deposit rate of major banks, with term adjustments appropriate for each type of warrant.

According to the above valuation, CVIC2507 and CVRE2515 are currently the two most attractively priced warrant codes.

Warrant codes with higher effective gearing will experience larger fluctuations in response to underlying securities. Currently, CHPG2504 and CMSN2503 are the two warrant codes with the highest effective gearing in the market.

Economic Analysis & Market Strategy Division, Vietstock Consulting Department

– 18:58 October 20, 2025

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