According to CBRE, Vietnam’s economy is expected to maintain stable growth, targeting an 8% GDP increase by 2025, solidifying its position among the fastest-growing economies in the Asia-Pacific region. Stable interest rates positively support the market, though investors should monitor exchange rate fluctuations and gold prices.
The Southern market’s primary driver is the accelerated investment in infrastructure, highlighted by key projects such as Ring Road 3, Ring Road 4, Long Thanh International Airport, Bien Hoa – Vung Tau Expressway, Ben Luc – Long Thanh Expressway, and the expanded metro network in Ho Chi Minh City. These initiatives are anticipated to unlock new urban development potential, bolstering long-term growth prospects.
In 2025, Ho Chi Minh City (old) will launch nearly 12,000 new housing units, comprising 7,600 apartments and 4,400 landed properties. The apartment segment sees a 50% supply increase compared to 2024, with 90% categorized as luxury and high-end. As the market leans heavily toward premium offerings, average primary sale prices in Q4 2025 rose by 18% year-over-year, reaching approximately VND 90 million per square meter of net area.
For landed properties, the 2025 supply reaches 4,400 units, a nearly 18-fold increase from 2024’s 230 units. Most launches occur in Q4, primarily from a mega-urban development in Can Gio, located 60 km (nearly 2 hours) from Ho Chi Minh City’s center. This project offers prices 30-50% lower than the market’s average primary rates.
Notably, Q4’s launch volume surpasses the city’s annual new supply, driving the average primary land price down to VND 190 million per square meter, a 37% drop from Q3 2025 and 39% from 2024.
Most Q4 launches originate from Vinhomes Can Gio, situated 60 km (nearly 2 hours) from Ho Chi Minh City’s center.
In 2025, alongside Ho Chi Minh City’s (old) improved supply, the Southern region offers diverse options for homebuyers, with over 15,800 new units (99% apartments) in Binh Duong (old), 9,400 units (75% landed) in Long An (old), nearly 1,300 units (50% landed) in Dong Nai, and over 800 landed units in Ba Ria – Vung Tau (old). Collectively, the five key Southern provinces (*) will introduce over 39,300 new housing units (apartments and landed), a 2.1-2.2 fold increase from 2023-2024.
Ms. Duong Thuy Dung, Senior Director at CBRE Vietnam, observes: “The Southern housing market shows clear segmentation by product type and pricing. Ho Chi Minh City remains the hub for luxury and high-end supply, while Binh Duong accounts for nearly 80% of 2025’s mid-range offerings. Bordering provinces like Long An and Dong Nai, with prices 50% lower than Ho Chi Minh City, exhibit robust growth, signaling emerging price dynamics.”
CBRE forecasts sustained growth in 2026, driven by critical infrastructure projects and steady demand for quality housing. The five Southern provinces (*) are projected to launch over 50,000 new units in 2026, with 65% apartments and 35% landed properties, a nearly 30% increase from 2025. Pricing will diversify based on location, with distinct differences between core Ho Chi Minh City and neighboring provinces. This diversity will intensify market competition and prolong homebuying decisions.
Investors are advised to shift from short-term trading to value investing, focusing on areas directly benefiting from strategic infrastructure.
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